Catalonia Has Won Elections In The Past Decade

2021-02-14   |   by CusiGO

Catalonia will hold its fourth autonomous election on Sunday, 10 years after Artur MAS, then president of the government, announced the start of what he called the national transition process. Public opinion surveys do not show whether the long-term link between independents and non independents will decline significantly from one side or the other since then, but the polarization of Catalan society still exists, and now people are worried about the scars left by the coronavirus crisis. If the polls do not specify which party can rule the government, it means that territorial debate is no longer a priority. The latest barometer of the Catalan government shows that the assessment of the political situation is far from improving: as many as 84% of citizens think it is bad or very bad.

According to opinion polls, there are three parties competing for the first place: the Socialist Party (PSC), the Esquire Republican Party (ERC) and the junts per Catalunya. But no matter who wins this Sunday night, the agreement that will not necessarily rule must be intertwined to obtain a majority. The agreement is an isolated cross between the veto and the insurmountable wall, which is still an issue of independence. As a result, Catalonia is likely to continue to fall into what some observers call a “lost decade” because of the institutional blockade associated with trials, the lack of progress in autonomy and the loss of economic momentum to other more dynamic communities. In this regard, it is crucial that Madrid’s GDP exceed Catalonia’s in recent years.

With the president, the unstable coalition of governments, the failed declaration of independence, the imprisonment and shirking of responsibility, and even autonomous intervention, Catalan society has ossified into two groups. Sociologist Marina subirats concluded: “for many people, independence is their bet on the world, and they stand up for it, even though it’s impossible in the short term, while others are betting on turning a new page without successfully developing another project.” Subilac, a former president of the Institute of La mujer and a former Barcelona councillor at the PSC, expects another independent government to emerge in this election and believes it will only “further weaken Catalonia”, especially because she will insist on the idea that it is not feasible. “A senior ERC leader once told me that independence would take at least two generations,” he recalled.

Therefore, at the same time, the Catalan government will become the main battlehorse of Catalan politics in the next few years. For some, it will be managed before independence; for others, how to keep up with the situation before the political chaos has subsided, which remains the dilemma of trial leaders, some in prison – now at the third level – and some fleeing from Spain to Belgium.

The concern of social and economic actors is not so much that Catalonia continues to be under an independent government – which many believe is true, even though they have ruled out another declaration of independence – but that the climate of blockade continues. “Catalonia has lost a decade, and now, with the coronavirus crisis, there is an urgent need not to waste more time, so we call on the new government to agree on a widely supported budget to respond to social emergencies and rebuild production structures,” concluded Josep Sanchez Libre, The main employer in Catalonia.

It is not easy to reach these agreements. Some polls show that El Salvador IRA’s PSC has a good choice to win, but the agreement he announced with the house of Commons, the Catalan benchmark of the United Nations, is not enough to govern. The independent party has ended its campaign and has written that it will not negotiate with the Socialists to form any government. Another problem is that the independent group can’t guarantee to be a senior executive either, because people don’t know whether the Democrats of junts can lead him, or whether this number will give ERC a chance to try. The power that the cup might have – which has forced Artur MAS to take over in 2016 – whether or not pdecat has broken its pragmatic independence, has closed the circle of the unknown. Further away, a socialist government supported by the right may be involved in a fierce struggle between the PP and vox to lead their respective departments in Catalonia.

The problem is that the political veto of the procedure also affects the renewal of public institutions, first the management of Catalonia television, and finally the government’s priorities. Camille Ross, Secretary General of UGT in Catalonia, believes that this polarization is the root of the problem, because the government has no budget in three of the past four years. “That’s why we urgently need the 2021 budget, and if we don’t want to lose everything this year, we already know it will be a serious economic crisis.”

More optimistic is Aurora cat á, chairman of BCN’s Association for global economic promotion. He said that the most urgent thing now is to reach a political party agreement conducive to economic recovery, but he believes that if the global economic crisis is excluded, Barcelona and Catalonia are not from a bad starting point. “We have a good foundation for our bets on growth, with technology companies and innovation and health clusters operating, such as NCB health hub,” he explained. In this regard, he believes that the new government must, at the same time as these initiatives, devote itself to cultivating talents. “What we need is not just money, but talent, for which we need to bet on education and research,” cat á added. A list of government petitions as good as this Sunday night may have little outline.